Publications, blogs & deliverables

Research articles:

  1. Ahtiainen, H., Liski, E., Pouta, E. et al. Cultural ecosystem services provided by the Baltic Sea marine environment. Ambio 481350–1361 (2019). here
  2. Bartosova, A., R. Capell, J.E. Olesen, M. Jabloun, J.C. Refsgaard, C. Donnelly, K. Hyytiäinen, S. Pihlainen, et al. 2019. Future socioeconomic conditions may have a larger impact than climate change on nutrient loads to the Baltic Sea. Ambio 48: 1325–1336. doi:10.1007/s13280-019-01243-5
  3. Bauer, B, Meier, M.H.E., Casini M., Hoff, A., Margonski, P., Orio, A., Saraiva, S., Steenbeck, J., Tomczak, M.T. 2018. Reducing eutrophication increases spatial extent of communities supporting commercial fisheries: a model case study. ICES Journal of Marine Science here
  4. Bauer, B., Gustafsson, B.G., Hyytiäinen, K. et al. Food web and fisheries in the future Baltic Sea. Ambio 48,1337–1349 (2019). here
  5. Bauer, B., Gustafsson, B.G., Hyytiäinen, K., Meier, H.E.M, Müller-Karulis, B., Saraiva, S., Tomczak, M.T. 2019. Food web and fisheries in the future Baltic Sea. Ambio 48: 1337-1349.
  6. Bauer, B., Horbowy, J., Rahikainen, M., Kulatska, N., Müller-Karulis, B., Tomczak, M.T., Bartolino, V. 2019. Model uncertainty and simulated multispecies fisheries management advice in the Baltic Sea. PLOS ONE here
  7. Bertram, C., Ahtiainen, H., Meyerhoff, J. et al. Contingent Behavior and Asymmetric Preferences for Baltic Sea Coastal Recreation. Environ Resource Econ 75, 49–78 (2020). here
  8. Czajkowski, M. et al 2018. Recreational value of the Baltic Sea: a spatially explicit site choice model accounting for environmental conditions. here
  9. Dieterich et al. 2019. Surface Heat Budget over the North Sea in Climate Change Simulations. Atmosphere 2019, 10(5), 272; here
  10. Ehrnsten Eva, Bauer Barbara, Gustafsson Bo G. 2019. Combined Effects of Environmental Drivers on Marine Trophic Groups – A Systematic Model Comparison. Frontiers in Marine Science DOI=10.3389/fmars.2019.00492 here
  11. Ehrnsten, E., Norkko, A., Müller‐Karulis, Gustafsson, E.,  Gustafsson, B.G. 2020. The meagre future of benthic fauna in a coastal sea—Benthic responses to recovery from eutrophication in a changing climate. here
  12. Ehrnsten, E., Sun, X., Humborg, C., Norkko, A., Savchuk, O.P., Slomp, C.P. Timmermann, K., Gustafsson, B.G. 2020. Understanding Environmental Changes in Temperate Coastal Seas: Linking Models of Benthic Fauna to Carbon and Nutrient Fluxes. Front. Mar. Sci., 16 June 2020 |
  13. Griffits et al. 2017. The importance of benthic–pelagic coupling for marine ecosystem functioning in a changing world. Global Change Biology 23: 2179-2196. here
  14. Hasler, B., Hyytiäinen, K., Refsgaard, J.C., Smart, J.C.R., Tonderski, K. 2019. Sustainable ecosystem governance under changing climate and land use: An introduction. Ambio 48: 1235–1239.  doi:10.1007/s13280-019-01269-9
  15. Hieronymus, J., Eilola, K., Hieronymus, M., Meier, H.E.M., Saraiva, S., Karlson, B. 2018. Causes of simulated long-term changes in phytoplankton biomass in the Baltic proper: a wavelet analysis. Biogeosciences, 15, 5113–5129,
  16. Hyytiäinen, K. Bauer, B., Bly Joyce, K., Ehrnsten, E., Eilola, K., Gustafsson, B.G.,  Meier, H.E.M., Norkko, Al., Saraiva, S. Tomczak, M., Zandersen, M. 2019. Provision of aquatic ecosystem services as a consequence of societal changes: The case of the Baltic Sea. Population Ecology. doi 10.1002/1438-390X.12033
  17. Meier HEM, Edman MK, Eilola KJ, Placke M, Neumann T, Andersson HC, Brunnabend S-E, Dieterich C, Frauen C, Friedland R, Gröger M, Gustafsson BG, Gustafsson E, Isaev A, Kniebusch M, Kuznetsov I, Müller-Karulis B, Omstedt A, Ryabchenko V, Saraiva S and Savchuk OP (2018) Assessment of Eutrophication Abatement Scenarios for the Baltic Sea by Multi-Model Ensemble Simulations. Front. Mar. Sci. 5:440. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2018.0044
  18. Meier, H. E. M., M. Edman, K. Eilola, M. Placke, T. Neumann, H. Andersson, S.-E. Brunnabend, C. Dieterich, C. Frauen, R. Friedland, M. Gröger, B. G. Gustafsson, E. Gustafsson, A. Isaev, M. Kniebusch, I. Kuznetsov, B. Müller-Karulis, M. Naumann, A. Omstedt, V. Ryabchenko, S. Saraiva, and O. P. Savchuk, 2019: Assessment of uncertainties in scenario simulations of biogeochemical cycles in the Baltic Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:46,
  19. Meier, H.E.M. and Saraiva, S. 2020. Projected Oceanographical Changes in the Baltic Sea until 2100. Oxford Research Encyclopedias – climate change. 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.699 here
  20. Meier, H.E.M., Dieterich, C., Eilola, K. et al. Future projections of record-breaking sea surface temperature and cyanobacteria bloom events in the Baltic Sea. Ambio 48, 1362–1376 (2019).
  21. Pihlainen, S., Zandersen, M., Hyytiäinen, K., Andersen, H.E., Bartosova, A., Gustafsson, B., Jabloun, M., McCrackin, M., Meier H.E.M., Olesen, J.E., Saraiva, S., Swaney, D., Thodsen, H. 2020. Impacts of changing society and climate on nutrient loading to the Baltic Sea. Science of the Total Environment. here
  22. Reusch, B.H. J. Dierking, H. Andersson, E. Bonsdorff, J. Carstensen, M. Casini, M. Czajkowski, B. Hasler, K. Hinsby, K. Hyytiäinen, K., Johannesson, S. Jomaa, V. Jormalainen, H. Kuosa, S. Kurland, . L. Laikre, B.R. MacKenzie, P. Margonski, F. Melzner, D. Oesterwind, H. Ojaveer, J.C. Refsgaard, A. Sandström, G. Schwarz, K. Tonderski, M. Winder, M. Zandersen, The Baltic Sea as a time machine for the future coastal ocean. Sci. Adv. 4, eaar8195 (2018) here
  23. Saraiva S., H. E. M. Meier, Helén Andersson, Anders Höglund, Christian Dieterich, Matthias Gröger, Robinson Hordoir, and Kari Eilola, 2019: Uncertainties in projections of the Baltic Sea ecosystem driven by an ensemble of global climate models. Frontiers in Earth Science, 6:244, , article available: here
  24. Saraiva, S. Meier, H.E.M., Andersson, H., Höglund, A., Dieterich, C., Gröger, M., Hordoir R., Eilola, K. 2018. Baltic Sea ecosystem response to various nutrient load scenarios in present and future climates. Climate Dynamics 52:3369, here
  25. Sihvonen, M. J., Hyytiäinen, K. P., Valkama, E. & Turtola, E. 2018. Phosphorus and Nitrogen Yield Response Models for Dynamic Bio-Economic Optimization: An Empirical Approach. Agronomy 2018: 1-26. here
  26. Sihvonen, M., Lintunen, J., Valkama, E., Hyytiäinen, K. Management of Legacy Phosphorus through Nitrogen and Phosphorus fertilization, catch crops, and gypsum treatment. Submitted
  27. Sihvonen, M., Pihlainen, S., Lai, T.Y., Salo, T., Hyytiäinen, K. Crop production, water pollution or climate change mitigation – which drives socially optimal fertilization management most? Submitted
  28. Villnäs A, Hewitt JE, Snickars M, Westerbom M, Norkko A (2018) Template for using biological trait groupings when exploring large-scale variation in estuarine ecosystem functions. Ecological Applications, 28: 78-94
  29. Zandersen, M., Hyytiäinen, K., Meier, M.H.E., Tomczak, M.T., Bauer, B., Haapasaari, P., Olesen, J.E.O., Gustafsson, B.G., Refsgaard, J.C., Fridell, E., Pihlainen, S., Le Tissier, M.D.A., Kosenius, A.K, Van Vuuren, D.P. 2019. Extending Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for the Baltic Sea region for use in studying regional environmental problems. Regional Environmental Change 19: 1073–1086. doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1453-0 here



  • D1.1 Report on regionalized SSPs and RCPs resulting in a coherent set of climate and socioeconomic scenarios for the Baltic Sea region REPORT
  • D2.2 Report of the national distribution of recreation benefits around the Baltic Sea REPORT
  • D2.3 Operationalization of marine cultural ecosystem services  REPORT
  • D2.4 Survey instrument on the SoftGIS platform REPORT
  • D3.6 A dynamic cost-and-effect model under changing climate and socioeconomic drivers REPORT
  • D4.2 Workshop on scenarios REPORT
  • D4.3 First version of mobile application ready for public testing  REPORT
  • D4.4 Regional workshop on use of ecological-economic research to support and improve marine policy implementation in the Baltic Sea region REPORT
  • D4.5 Report on Stakeholder conference REPORT
  • D5.2 Periodic report I SUMMARY
  • D5.3 Period report II SUMMARY

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