Research articles:
- Ahtiainen, H., Liski, E., Pouta, E. et al. Cultural ecosystem services provided by the Baltic Sea marine environment. Ambio 48, 1350–1361 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01239-1 here
- Bartosova, A., R. Capell, J.E. Olesen, M. Jabloun, J.C. Refsgaard, C. Donnelly, K. Hyytiäinen, S. Pihlainen, et al. 2019. Future socioeconomic conditions may have a larger impact than climate change on nutrient loads to the Baltic Sea. Ambio 48: 1325–1336. doi:10.1007/s13280-019-01243-5
- Bauer, B, Meier, M.H.E., Casini M., Hoff, A., Margonski, P., Orio, A., Saraiva, S., Steenbeck, J., Tomczak, M.T. 2018. Reducing eutrophication increases spatial extent of communities supporting commercial fisheries: a model case study. ICES Journal of Marine Science here
- Bauer, B., Gustafsson, B.G., Hyytiäinen, K. et al. Food web and fisheries in the future Baltic Sea. Ambio 48,1337–1349 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01229-3 here
- Bauer, B., Gustafsson, B.G., Hyytiäinen, K., Meier, H.E.M, Müller-Karulis, B., Saraiva, S., Tomczak, M.T. 2019. Food web and fisheries in the future Baltic Sea. Ambio 48: 1337-1349. doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01229-3
- Bauer, B., Horbowy, J., Rahikainen, M., Kulatska, N., Müller-Karulis, B., Tomczak, M.T., Bartolino, V. 2019. Model uncertainty and simulated multispecies fisheries management advice in the Baltic Sea. PLOS ONE doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211320 here
- Bertram, C., Ahtiainen, H., Meyerhoff, J. et al. Contingent Behavior and Asymmetric Preferences for Baltic Sea Coastal Recreation. Environ Resource Econ 75, 49–78 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-019-00388-x here
- Czajkowski, M. et al 2018. Recreational value of the Baltic Sea: a spatially explicit site choice model accounting for environmental conditions. here
- Dieterich et al. 2019. Surface Heat Budget over the North Sea in Climate Change Simulations. Atmosphere 2019, 10(5), 272; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10050272 here
- Ehrnsten Eva, Bauer Barbara, Gustafsson Bo G. 2019. Combined Effects of Environmental Drivers on Marine Trophic Groups – A Systematic Model Comparison. Frontiers in Marine Science DOI=10.3389/fmars.2019.00492 here
- Ehrnsten, E., Norkko, A., Müller‐Karulis, Gustafsson, E., Gustafsson, B.G. 2020. The meagre future of benthic fauna in a coastal sea—Benthic responses to recovery from eutrophication in a changing climate. doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15014 here
- Ehrnsten, E., Sun, X., Humborg, C., Norkko, A., Savchuk, O.P., Slomp, C.P. Timmermann, K., Gustafsson, B.G. 2020. Understanding Environmental Changes in Temperate Coastal Seas: Linking Models of Benthic Fauna to Carbon and Nutrient Fluxes. Front. Mar. Sci., 16 June 2020 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00450
- Griffits et al. 2017. The importance of benthic–pelagic coupling for marine ecosystem functioning in a changing world. Global Change Biology 23: 2179-2196. here
- Hasler, B., Hyytiäinen, K., Refsgaard, J.C., Smart, J.C.R., Tonderski, K. 2019. Sustainable ecosystem governance under changing climate and land use: An introduction. Ambio 48: 1235–1239. doi:10.1007/s13280-019-01269-9
- Hieronymus, J., Eilola, K., Hieronymus, M., Meier, H.E.M., Saraiva, S., Karlson, B. 2018. Causes of simulated long-term changes in phytoplankton biomass in the Baltic proper: a wavelet analysis. Biogeosciences, 15, 5113–5129, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5113-2018
- Hyytiäinen, K. Bauer, B., Bly Joyce, K., Ehrnsten, E., Eilola, K., Gustafsson, B.G., Meier, H.E.M., Norkko, Al., Saraiva, S. Tomczak, M., Zandersen, M. 2019. Provision of aquatic ecosystem services as a consequence of societal changes: The case of the Baltic Sea. Population Ecology. doi 10.1002/1438-390X.12033
- Meier HEM, Edman MK, Eilola KJ, Placke M, Neumann T, Andersson HC, Brunnabend S-E, Dieterich C, Frauen C, Friedland R, Gröger M, Gustafsson BG, Gustafsson E, Isaev A, Kniebusch M, Kuznetsov I, Müller-Karulis B, Omstedt A, Ryabchenko V, Saraiva S and Savchuk OP (2018) Assessment of Eutrophication Abatement Scenarios for the Baltic Sea by Multi-Model Ensemble Simulations. Front. Mar. Sci. 5:440. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2018.0044
- Meier, H. E. M., M. Edman, K. Eilola, M. Placke, T. Neumann, H. Andersson, S.-E. Brunnabend, C. Dieterich, C. Frauen, R. Friedland, M. Gröger, B. G. Gustafsson, E. Gustafsson, A. Isaev, M. Kniebusch, I. Kuznetsov, B. Müller-Karulis, M. Naumann, A. Omstedt, V. Ryabchenko, S. Saraiva, and O. P. Savchuk, 2019: Assessment of uncertainties in scenario simulations of biogeochemical cycles in the Baltic Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:46, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00046
- Meier, H.E.M. and Saraiva, S. 2020. Projected Oceanographical Changes in the Baltic Sea until 2100. Oxford Research Encyclopedias – climate change. 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.699 here
- Meier, H.E.M., Dieterich, C., Eilola, K. et al. Future projections of record-breaking sea surface temperature and cyanobacteria bloom events in the Baltic Sea. Ambio 48, 1362–1376 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01235-5
- Pihlainen, S., Zandersen, M., Hyytiäinen, K., Andersen, H.E., Bartosova, A., Gustafsson, B., Jabloun, M., McCrackin, M., Meier H.E.M., Olesen, J.E., Saraiva, S., Swaney, D., Thodsen, H. 2020. Impacts of changing society and climate on nutrient loading to the Baltic Sea. Science of the Total Environment. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138935 here
- Reusch, B.H. J. Dierking, H. Andersson, E. Bonsdorff, J. Carstensen, M. Casini, M. Czajkowski, B. Hasler, K. Hinsby, K. Hyytiäinen, K., Johannesson, S. Jomaa, V. Jormalainen, H. Kuosa, S. Kurland, . L. Laikre, B.R. MacKenzie, P. Margonski, F. Melzner, D. Oesterwind, H. Ojaveer, J.C. Refsgaard, A. Sandström, G. Schwarz, K. Tonderski, M. Winder, M. Zandersen, The Baltic Sea as a time machine for the future coastal ocean. Sci. Adv. 4, eaar8195 (2018) here
- Saraiva S., H. E. M. Meier, Helén Andersson, Anders Höglund, Christian Dieterich, Matthias Gröger, Robinson Hordoir, and Kari Eilola, 2019: Uncertainties in projections of the Baltic Sea ecosystem driven by an ensemble of global climate models. Frontiers in Earth Science, 6:244, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2018.00244 , article available: here
- Saraiva, S. Meier, H.E.M., Andersson, H., Höglund, A., Dieterich, C., Gröger, M., Hordoir R., Eilola, K. 2018. Baltic Sea ecosystem response to various nutrient load scenarios in present and future climates. Climate Dynamics 52:3369, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4330-0. here
- Sihvonen, M. J., Hyytiäinen, K. P., Valkama, E. & Turtola, E. 2018. Phosphorus and Nitrogen Yield Response Models for Dynamic Bio-Economic Optimization: An Empirical Approach. Agronomy 2018: 1-26. here
- Sihvonen, M., Lintunen, J., Valkama, E., Hyytiäinen, K. Management of Legacy Phosphorus through Nitrogen and Phosphorus fertilization, catch crops, and gypsum treatment. Submitted
- Sihvonen, M., Pihlainen, S., Lai, T.Y., Salo, T., Hyytiäinen, K. Crop production, water pollution or climate change mitigation – which drives socially optimal fertilization management most? Submitted
- Villnäs A, Hewitt JE, Snickars M, Westerbom M, Norkko A (2018) Template for using biological trait groupings when exploring large-scale variation in estuarine ecosystem functions. Ecological Applications, 28: 78-94
- Zandersen, M., Hyytiäinen, K., Meier, M.H.E., Tomczak, M.T., Bauer, B., Haapasaari, P., Olesen, J.E.O., Gustafsson, B.G., Refsgaard, J.C., Fridell, E., Pihlainen, S., Le Tissier, M.D.A., Kosenius, A.K, Van Vuuren, D.P. 2019. Extending Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for the Baltic Sea region for use in studying regional environmental problems. Regional Environmental Change 19: 1073–1086. doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1453-0 here
Blogs:
- BONUS BALTICAPP – Citizens and science blog by Janne Artell
- BONUS BALTICAPP – Race Against Eutrophication blog by Matti Sihvonen
- BONUS BALTICAPP – ENVECON blog by Wiktor Budzinski
Deliverables:
- D1.1 Report on regionalized SSPs and RCPs resulting in a coherent set of climate and socioeconomic scenarios for the Baltic Sea region REPORT
- D2.2 Report of the national distribution of recreation benefits around the Baltic Sea REPORT
- D2.3 Operationalization of marine cultural ecosystem services REPORT
- D2.4 Survey instrument on the SoftGIS platform REPORT
- D3.6 A dynamic cost-and-effect model under changing climate and socioeconomic drivers REPORT
- D4.2 Workshop on scenarios REPORT
- D4.3 First version of mobile application ready for public testing REPORT
- D4.4 Regional workshop on use of ecological-economic research to support and improve marine policy implementation in the Baltic Sea region REPORT
- D4.5 Report on Stakeholder conference REPORT
- D5.2 Periodic report I SUMMARY
- D5.3 Period report II SUMMARY
Media coverage:
- Finnish broadcasting company YLE, 16.7.2015
- Århus University
- EUSBSR Strategy Forum, 8-9 November 2016
- SVT Nyheter 7.3.2017: article & video