The History of Russia after Putin

by Danylo Herasymov

Memory politics play a significant role in the life of the modern Russian state. This is proven by the fact that one does not have to dig further than the recent speeches of Russian President Vladimir Putin. He gave one such speech on the eve of his full-scale invasion of Ukraine (23.02.2022) and another more recent one, presented during the acceptance of the newly-occupied Ukrainian territories into the Russian Federation. Putin enjoys giving lectures on history and in Putin’s imagination, events are twisted into a chimeric mix of narratives. A Kyivan Rus that has nothing to do with Ukraine, apparently created by Lenin, but is the origin of Russia, that never in history attacked any state and yet became the largest state in the world, is the result of this historical imagining.

But modern Russian appeal to the Soviet past doesn’t try to restore the ideological Soviet, communist state – it needs the USSR only as a memory of empire, and this is the only characteristic that matters.

Putin’s interpretations of history serve a big role in his plans. Putin loves nostalgia – he basically feeds on it. It is nostalgia that led Putin to become an unchangeable leader of Russia and consolidate all the power of the state in his hands. But, restorative nostalgia needs a myth of the golden age – and a cultural trauma to overcome. Putin’s Russia finds a usable trauma in the collapse of the USSR, while for most of the former Soviet republics – in fact, for many subjects and nations of the Russian Federation too, perhaps, – the fall of the Soviet Union is the opposite of tragedy. But modern Russian appeal to the Soviet past doesn’t try to restore the ideological Soviet, communist state – it needs the USSR only as a memory of empire, and this is the only characteristic that matters. This is why the modern Russian state can canonize Tsar Nicholas II and his family as martyrs, and have the body of the men who led their killers honorably buried in the heart of its capital. All the contradictions of the different versions of Russia past do not matter, as long as Russia keeps imperialism as one of its main characteristics.

Following the collapse of the USSR and the ensuing economic crisis, the rise of criminality and the decrease of living standards for Russians were severe – but it was not the most horrible thing to happen to Russia. However, it was used as the central piece to construct the trauma around it, revive the sense of ontological insecurity from those who used to be the rivals of the USSR, and securitize memory politics of the state to filter out what makes this picture questionable. Hence, the heroization and cult of the Great Patriotic War override the history of WWII: the Russian state doesn’t like to recall the events of 1939-1940 and likes to portray itself as the victim. The wars that do not fit in such a frame – such as the Afghan war or Chechen wars are neglected – they were neither patriotic nor particularly successful.

This mnemonic frame makes it easy for the state to justify its imperial ambitions and manipulate the internal audience and give the sense of a “besieged fortress”. Manipulating history to show only certain parts of it is the best way to ignore the lessons of history. Putin considers himself a historian – he does not need such lessons. But what will happen to Russia after Putin?

I’m far from believing that like in the Lord of the Rings novels, with Putin’s fall the rest of his empire will collapse. A vacuum of power can not exist for a long time, and sooner or later, it will be consolidated by someone – or some group of people. Putin’s rule, however, made everything in Russia connected to him – and his end will surely mean destabilization for the state he built. What will come out of it is quite impossible to predict – but a certain thing is that history and memory politics will play an important role in this process again in two ways.

If, however, there will be an attempt to de-colonize the history and cast off the nostalgia, this will be the first beam of hope for the real changes in Russia – and the whole region as well.

First, memory will be used to explain what kind of state post-Putin Russia should be and how it was “meant” to be exactly this way. Depending on the narrator, this story may vary dramatically. What matters most, is the second way that history will be important in post-Putin Russia: it will be a marker. The current war in Ukraine may end up in a very different way, but at this point in time it is quite clear that it will hardly be called “victorious”. And loss in this war has huge potential to raise the feeling of resentment, which will strengthen the empirical narrative of Russian history. If post-Putin Russia will come to this, as it did numerous times in its history, this will make a new Russia. Despite the change of ruler the nature of the modern Russian state will remain the same. Therefore, without abandoning its empirical past and the destruction of the trauma of a lost empire, more autocracy and more wars are likely to follow. If, however, there will be an attempt to de-colonize the history and cast off the nostalgia, this will be the first beam of hope for the real changes in Russia – and the whole region as well.

Danylo Herasymov, University of Tartu

This blog is a part of a blog series written by the BAMSE Tartu intensive course students. The blog series analyses the impact of crises on the politics of history, challenges of democracy, biopolitics and energy security. This blog is belongs to the politics of history part of the blog series. Read more about the blog series on Bamse News & Events website.

Methodology of Democracy?

by Katalin Miklóssy

How do you teach democracy? Isn’t there a profound contradiction? At least, if one believes in what Woodrow Wilson once stated: “the whole purpose of democracy is that we may hold counsel with one another, so as not to depend upon the understanding of one man“.

But isn’t one man’s understanding of democracy  exactly the reason for what we can see as authoritarian backsliding of the eastern members of the European Union? How have phenomenon such as the erosion of the rule of law, high degree of corruption, over-centralisation of governance, limitations on media and curbing civic freedoms continued to grow, while a small elite was allowed to grab power and manipulate the rest of society? This is a thrilling problem because it exists within the value-based community of the EU. We have heard several possible explanations such as: shallow democratic experiences, transitions from socialism to market capitalism that were considered too fast, the unequal standing of eastern and western members of the EU, the 2008 economic crisis, globalisation, the rise of populism and the spread of Putinism – just to mention a few.

What if we have forgotten or, in the Eastern European case, never learned, that democracy is not really a grandiose idea but a day-to-day, down-to-earth hands-on process: a practice to discuss, debate and deliberate in order to arrive at consensus of how to solve real life problems.

But perhaps the explanation is a lot simpler. What if we have forgotten or, in the Eastern European case, never learned, that democracy is not really a grandiose idea but a day-to-day, down-to-earth hands-on process: a practice to discuss, debate and deliberate in order to arrive at consensus of how to solve real life problems.

Now, this one man can surely teach democracy because it is about inspiring students to rethink concepts that we take for granted – much too often. So, we as scholars can offer a useful tool for this purpose: area studies, which is in fact embedded in democratic discussions. Area studies were established in the late 19th century for practical reasons; to solve complex problems colonial administrations faced in India and Africa. While the ultimate aim was ominously undemocratic, the process of problem-solving in itself, was not. It established a new procedure where representatives of different disciplines came together, as equals, and collaborated for one purpose. The colonial administrations – fortunately – faded away, while deliberative and interdisciplinary co-operation further developed teaching and learning, now for the common good rather than sustaining state power. Furthermore, area studies provide a deeper understanding that problems of democracy are complex issues which cannot be worked out by the toolkit of a single discipline alone.

So, we need others to work with us and share our worries, dispute, deliberate and if possible, to achieve an understanding. When we look at the whole process it becomes rather obvious that this is actually the methodology of democracy .

Katalin Miklóssy is University Lecturer and Head of Discipline in Eastern European and Balkan Studies at the University of Helsinki Aleksanteri Institute and one of the BAMSE network teachers. Read more about Katalin’s research and teaching activities at the Aleksanteri Institute website.